SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NS Mura |
47.93% ( 0.1) | 24.19% ( 0.15) | 27.87% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( -0.84) | 45.13% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -0.81) | 67.48% ( 0.8) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( -0.29) | 18.94% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( -0.48) | 50.45% ( 0.48) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.61) | 29.73% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( -0.75) | 65.79% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NS Mura |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.25% Total : 47.93% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.23% Total : 27.87% |
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