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Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Mestni Štadion Fazanerija
SP

NS Mura
0 - 0
St Patrick's

St Patrick's win 6-5 on penalties

Lorbek (41'), Daku (48'), Klepac (90+4'), Bobicanec (90+4')
Marusko (71')
FT

Brockbank (42'), Forrester (71'), O'Reilly (93')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 NS Mura
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: NS Mura 2-1 St Patrick's Athletic

We expect the Slovenians to have too much for their opponents on home territory. However, it is likely to be a game decided by the smallest of margins, with Daku's searing pace and ability in front of goal likely to prove the difference. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
NS MuraDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
44.32% (0.158 0.16) 25.3% (-0.164 -0.16) 30.38% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43% (0.702 0.7)48.57% (-0.704 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31% (0.637 0.64)70.69% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
NS Mura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.369 0.37)21.9% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (0.558 0.56)55.15% (-0.562 -0.56)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.35899999999999 0.36)29.71% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (0.434 0.43)65.77% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    NS Mura 44.32%
    St Patrick's Athletic 30.38%
    Draw 25.29%
NS MuraDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 NS Mura
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: NS Mura 2-1 Sfîntul
Thursday, July 14 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sfîntul 1-2 NS Mura
Thursday, July 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Vitesse 3-1 NS Mura
Thursday, December 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: NS Mura 2-1 Spurs
Thursday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 NS Mura
Thursday, November 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 NS Mura
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, July 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-2 Shamrock
Monday, June 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, June 24 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 UCD
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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