SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
44.32% ( 0.16) | 25.3% ( -0.16) | 30.38% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% ( 0.7) | 48.57% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% ( 0.64) | 70.69% ( -0.64) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.37) | 21.9% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( 0.56) | 55.15% ( -0.56) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( 0.36) | 29.71% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( 0.43) | 65.77% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.38% |
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