Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Radomlje had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Radomlje win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
0.23) 
-0.44) 
