SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Birkirkara had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Birkirkara win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birkirkara | Draw | Maribor |
20.99% ( -0.03) | 22.62% ( -0.02) | 56.39% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.05) | 44.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.05) | 67.17% ( -0.05) |
| Birkirkara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% ( -0) | 35.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.86% ( -0) | 72.14% |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.03) | 15.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( 0.06) | 44.76% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birkirkara | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( -0)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.99% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.39% |
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