SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 17 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Honka | 17 | 19 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Maribor |
41.02% ( -0.01) | 23.4% ( -0) | 35.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( 0.02) | 38.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( 0.02) | 60.39% ( -0.02) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0) | 19% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( 0) | 50.55% ( -0) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.02) | 21.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( 0.02) | 54.68% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.57% |
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