SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
50.55% ( -1.07) | 22.58% ( 0.42) | 26.87% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( -1.47) | 38.44% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% ( -1.58) | 60.73% ( 1.57) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( -0.89) | 15.43% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.73% ( -1.69) | 44.26% ( 1.68) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.31) | 26.99% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.41) | 62.34% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.88% Total : 50.55% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.87% |
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