SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
39.21% ( 0.03) | 25.44% ( -0.14) | 35.35% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( 0.63) | 47.77% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( 0.58) | 69.96% ( -0.58) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( 0.3) | 24.05% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( 0.42) | 58.31% ( -0.42) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( 0.36) | 26.17% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( 0.48) | 61.26% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.35% |
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