SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
52.91% ( 0.48) | 23.51% ( -0.27) | 23.58% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( 0.96) | 45.71% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( 0.91) | 68.03% ( -0.91) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( 0.54) | 17.24% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.45% ( 0.93) | 47.55% ( -0.93) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( 0.34) | 33.47% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( 0.37) | 70.11% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.91% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.58% |
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