SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
30.95% ( -0.39) | 23.89% ( 0.03) | 45.16% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( -0.32) | 42% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% ( -0.32) | 64.41% ( 0.32) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.4) | 26.06% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( -0.54) | 61.11% ( 0.54) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.02) | 18.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.73% ( 0.04) | 50.27% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
| 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.95% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.16% |
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