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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
25.46% ( 1.12) | 22.3% ( 0.72) | 52.25% ( -1.84) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.65% ( -2.33) | 38.35% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.37% ( -2.52) | 60.63% ( 2.52) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -0.41) | 27.97% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( -0.52) | 63.61% ( 0.52) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( -1.4) | 14.82% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% ( -2.73) | 43.12% ( 2.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.51)2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.63% Total : 25.46% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.45)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.22)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.18)Other @ 4.12% Total : 52.25% |
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