SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
26.65% ( 1.91) | 26.6% ( -0.19) | 46.75% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( 2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( 1.92) | 55.73% ( -1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( 1.54) | 76.87% ( -1.54) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 2.72) | 36.3% ( -2.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% ( 2.66) | 73.09% ( -2.66) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( 0.03) | 23.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( 0.04) | 58% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.88% Total : 26.65% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.66)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.94) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.66)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.75% |
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