Hatayspor, despite their struggles, have shown some attacking promise and will benefit from their past success against Samsunspor at home, so we're backing the hosts to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Hatayspor	Draw	Samsunspor
40.29% ( -0.16)	27.3% ( -0.01)	32.41% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 49.39% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.97% (

0.07)

56.03% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89% (

0.05)

77.11% (

-0.05)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-0.06)

27.26% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-0.07)

62.69% (

0.08)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

0.15)

32.1% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42% (

0.17)

68.58% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Hatayspor 40.29%

Samsunspor 32.41%

Draw 27.3%

Hatayspor	Draw	Samsunspor
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.41%