SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.77%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
17.35% ( -0.16) | 18.19% ( -0.11) | 64.46% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 63.93% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.27) | 29.52% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.32) | 50.61% ( -0.32) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.01) | 29.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( 0.01) | 66.05% ( -0.01) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.26% ( 0.13) | 8.74% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.96% ( 0.32) | 30.04% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 17.35% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.19% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.64% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 64.46% |
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