Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 53.68%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.26) 
