Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
