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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Eryaman Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
1 - 2
Adana Demirspor

Milson (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belhanda (31'), Akbaba (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-3 Istanbul
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 1-3 Adana Demirspor

Given the 24-point gulf between these two sides, we expect Adana Demirspor to sign off with a comfortable victory over Ankaragucu, who have failed to win any of their last four matches on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawAdana Demirspor
39.04% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 23.86% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 37.09% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.97% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (0.157 0.16)40.21% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (0.162 0.16)62.58% (-0.161 -0.16)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.051999999999992 0.05)20.79% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)53.45% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (0.107 0.11)21.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (0.16099999999999 0.16)54.94% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 39.04%
    Adana Demirspor 37.09%
    Draw 23.86%
AnkaragucuDrawAdana Demirspor
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-4 Galatasaray
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-2 Istanbul
Thursday, May 25 at 6.30pm in Turkish Cup
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Ankaragucu
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Ankaragucu
Monday, May 8 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-3 Istanbul
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-2 Adana Demirspor
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-4 Besiktas
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Adana Demirspor
Wednesday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-2 Alanyaspor
Saturday, May 6 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 5-3 Kayserispor
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig


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