SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Besiktas |
36.4% ( -0.94) | 24.5% ( -0.05) | 39.1% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 59.55% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.67% ( 0.2) | 43.32% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.28% ( 0.19) | 65.72% ( -0.19) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.41) | 23.52% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( -0.6) | 57.56% ( 0.6) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( 0.59) | 22.13% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( 0.88) | 55.51% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.1% |
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