Basaksahir have not been beaten in 13 matches with Ankaragucu, and that run without losing to the side from Ankara should see both teams play a draw on the night, which would see the Istanbul side go through.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%).