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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu
G

Ankaragucu
1 - 4
Galatasaray

Milson (16')
Kizildag (25'), Diack (35'), Mujakic (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Icardi (7', 38'), Yilmaz (73'), Oliveira (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-2 Istanbul
Thursday, May 25 at 6.30pm in Turkish Cup
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 0-3 Galatasaray

Ankaragucu have nothing tangible to play for at the end of this campaign, which - in theory - should make Galatasaray's mission of earning maximum points on Tuesday night significantly easier. Cimbom have won their last three matches without conceding a goal, and we are expecting that rich vein of form to continue in Ankara to all but wrap up the Super Lig title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawGalatasaray
25.56% (-1.144 -1.14) 23.71% (-0.181 -0.18) 50.72% (1.324 1.32)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (-0.115 -0.12)44.78% (0.11300000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (-0.11 -0.11)67.14% (0.107 0.11)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.95399999999999 -0.95)31.31% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-1.121 -1.12)67.68% (1.118 1.12)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.464 0.46)17.71% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.799 0.8)48.36% (-0.802 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 25.56%
    Galatasaray 50.72%
    Draw 23.71%
AnkaragucuDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 6.47% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 6.44% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.74% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.56%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.287 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.57% (0.133 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.8% (0.234 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.093 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.131 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 50.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-2 Istanbul
Thursday, May 25 at 6.30pm in Turkish Cup
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Ankaragucu
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Ankaragucu
Monday, May 8 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Ankaragucu
Thursday, May 4 at 6.30pm in Turkish Cup
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, May 16 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Istanbul
Monday, May 8 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 Galatasaray
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Karagumruk
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-4 Galatasaray
Tuesday, April 18 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig


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