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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
2 - 2
Karagumruk

Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
Tirpan (60'), Graovac (65'), Bahoken (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')
Colley (77'), Ugur (90+4'), Biraschi (90+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, January 7 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-3 Konyaspor
Sunday, January 8 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-2 Fatih Karagumruk

Kasimpasa put up a good fight against Besiktas in their last outing and won convincingly in their last game on home soil, so they will not make it easy. Karagumruk's focus on attack leaves them vulnerable defensively, but they have the firepower up front in the likes of Borini and Mbaye Diagne to cause big problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
54.62% (-0.468 -0.47) 22.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.23% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.2% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (0.341 0.34)40.02% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (0.354 0.35)62.38% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)42.75% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.562 0.56)30.66% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.65799999999999 0.66)66.9% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 54.62%
    Fatih Karagumruk 23.23%
    Draw 22.16%
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.073 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 23.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, January 7 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 4-1 Alanyaspor
Wednesday, January 4 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Kasimpasa
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-2 Sivasspor
Saturday, December 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-1 Ankaragucu
Friday, November 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-3 Konyaspor
Sunday, January 8 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-4 Karagumruk
Wednesday, January 4 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-1 Trabzonspor
Wednesday, December 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, December 25 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-3 Gaziantep
Sunday, November 13 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 4-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig


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