Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Kasimpasa | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
54.62% ( -0.47) | 22.16% ( 0.03) | 23.23% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.99% ( 0.34) | 40.02% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.62% ( 0.35) | 62.38% ( -0.35) |
Kasimpasa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( -0.03) | 14.63% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.26% ( -0.06) | 42.75% ( 0.07) |
Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.56) | 30.66% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.66) | 66.9% ( -0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Kasimpasa | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 23.23% |
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