SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
51.81% ( 0.62) | 21.68% ( -0.2) | 26.51% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 64.71% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( 0.63) | 34.4% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( 0.7) | 56.32% ( -0.7) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( 0.42) | 13.58% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.31% ( 0.83) | 40.69% ( -0.83) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.04) | 25.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% ( 0.06) | 59.83% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.81% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.51% |
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