Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Antalyaspor in this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
