Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result | ||
Fenerbahce | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
66.83% (![]() | 18.66% (![]() | 14.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.15% (![]() | 37.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.9% (![]() | 60.1% (![]() |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.52% (![]() | 10.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.89% (![]() | 34.11% (![]() |
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.35% (![]() | 38.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.61% (![]() | 75.39% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fenerbahce | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
2-0 @ 10.3% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 4.63% Total : 66.83% | 1-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.13% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.51% |
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