SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Gaziantep |
57.69% ( -0.14) | 23.49% ( 0.01) | 18.82% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( 0.11) | 51.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( 0.09) | 73.09% ( -0.1) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( -0.01) | 17.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( -0.02) | 48.06% ( 0.01) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.6% ( 0.2) | 41.39% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.09% ( 0.18) | 77.9% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.69% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.82% |
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