SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Galatasaray |
21.59% ( -0.01) | 23.39% ( 0.01) | 55.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( -0.04) | 47.41% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( -0.04) | 69.63% ( 0.03) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.03) | 36.27% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% ( -0.03) | 73.05% ( 0.02) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.02) | 17.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( -0.03) | 47.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.01% |
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