Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 25.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a BB Erzurumspor win it was 1-0 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.