Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Altay had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for an Altay win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
