Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Besiktas in this match.
