Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.