Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 71.02%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Besiktas | Draw | Giresunspor |
71.02% ( -0.31) | 17.29% ( 0.12) | 11.69% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.31% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.65% ( -0.02) | 38.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.36% ( -0.03) | 60.63% ( 0.03) |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.41% ( -0.08) | 9.59% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.93% ( -0.19) | 32.07% ( 0.19) |
Giresunspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.75% ( 0.31) | 43.25% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.5% ( 0.26) | 79.5% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Besiktas | Draw | Giresunspor |
2-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.95% Total : 71.01% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.29% | 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 11.69% |
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