SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Giresunspor |
56.62% ( 0.25) | 22.73% ( -0.09) | 20.65% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( 0.19) | 45.73% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( 0.18) | 68.05% ( -0.18) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0.16) | 15.94% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.79% ( 0.28) | 45.21% ( -0.27) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( -0.05) | 36.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.98% ( -0.05) | 73.03% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Giresunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.65% |
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