SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Besiktas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Besiktas.
| Result | ||
| Giresunspor | Draw | Besiktas |
27.95% ( 0.31) | 26.51% ( 0.05) | 45.54% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( -0.03) | 54.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( -0.02) | 75.98% ( 0.02) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( 0.23) | 34.66% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( 0.24) | 71.39% ( -0.24) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.19) | 23.93% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -0.26) | 58.15% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Giresunspor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.95% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.54% |
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