SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Kayserispor |
42.19% ( -0.43) | 25.4% ( 0.04) | 32.41% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( -0.07) | 48.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( -0.06) | 70.4% ( 0.07) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.23) | 22.77% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( -0.35) | 56.46% ( 0.36) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( 0.22) | 28.2% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( 0.27) | 63.89% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.42% |
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