Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.