SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 38 | 20 | 65 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 38 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
61.64% ( 1.98) | 19.58% ( -0.53) | 18.77% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0.26) | 33.94% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.3) | 55.8% ( -0.3) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.33% ( 0.59) | 10.66% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.47% ( 1.31) | 34.53% ( -1.31) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -1.24) | 31.24% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( -1.47) | 67.59% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.29)1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.16)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 61.64% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.45% Total : 18.77% |
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