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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 2pm UK
 
A

Karagumruk
0 - 1
Alanyaspor


Luckassen (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karaca (37')
Awaziem (33'), Fer (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-2 Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor will be waiting in the wings for any slip ups from Istanbul Basaksehir, and with a top-four finish within their reach, we think that the visitors will utilise that extra motivation to clinch a fourth consecutive league victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
47.42% (-0.629 -0.63) 24.53% (0.41 0.41) 28.05% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-1.213 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (-1.671 -1.67)46.49% (1.668 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23% (-1.59 -1.59)68.77% (1.586 1.59)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.919 -0.92)19.68% (0.917 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-1.514 -1.51)51.67% (1.511 1.51)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.705 -0.7)30.31% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.849 -0.85)66.49% (0.848 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 47.42%
    Alanyaspor 28.05%
    Draw 24.52%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.359 0.36)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-0 Karagumruk
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-1 Goztepe SK
Saturday, May 7 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, April 30 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-1 Giresunspor
Saturday, April 23 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Friday, April 15 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-2 Kasimpasa
Saturday, April 9 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-0 Gaziantep
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-2 Alanyaspor
Saturday, May 7 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-1 Yeni M'spor
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Monday, April 25 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-3 Antalyaspor
Saturday, April 16 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 4-1 Alanyaspor
Saturday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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