Alanyaspor will be waiting in the wings for any slip ups from Istanbul Basaksehir, and with a top-four finish within their reach, we think that the visitors will utilise that extra motivation to clinch a fourth consecutive league victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
-0.63) 
0.41) 
