With Alanyaspor in a rut and Yeni Malatyaspor playing with freedom following their relegation, we do not expect a thrashing like the league table would suggest.
That being said, we do ultimately see the hosts outclassing their visitors with the need to keep the chasing pack at bay.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alanyaspor in this match.
