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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 42
May 15, 2021 at 4pm UK
 

Karagumruk
5 - 1
Denizlispor

Borini (42' pen.), Sobiech (45+1', 83'), Lens (52'), Eggen Hedenstad (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mesanovic (26')
Yavuz Kol (35')
Yavuz Kol (39')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Denizlispor.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Denizlispor had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Denizlispor win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawDenizlispor
62.76%19.92%17.32%
Both teams to score 57.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85%38.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58%60.42%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38%11.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.37%36.63%
Denizlispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.1%
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 62.76%
    Denizlispor 17.32%
    Draw 19.92%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawDenizlispor
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 7.1%
3-0 @ 6.83%
4-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-0 @ 3.67%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.65%
5-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 62.76%
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 4.11%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.92%
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-1 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.78%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 17.32%

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