Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Denizlispor had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Denizlispor win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.