Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Genclerbirligi win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
