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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 40
May 8, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
 

Karagumruk
5 - 1
Genclerbirligi

Zukanovic (8'), Borini (17'), Ndao (60', 75'), Lens (88' pen.)
Lens (56'), Roco (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Karakas (90+2')
Stancu (28'), Artan (87')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Genclerbirligi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Genclerbirligi win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGenclerbirligi
57.15%22.63%20.23%
Both teams to score 53.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16%45.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85%68.15%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2%15.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05%44.95%
Genclerbirligi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27%36.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48%73.52%
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 57.14%
    Genclerbirligi 20.23%
    Draw 22.62%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGenclerbirligi
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.88%
3-1 @ 6.09%
3-0 @ 6.08%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-0 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 57.14%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.81%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 20.23%

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