Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
