Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.85%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 9.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for an Antalyaspor win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
Result | ||
Fenerbahce | Draw | Antalyaspor |
75.85% ( -0.37) | 15% ( 0.2) | 9.15% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.05% ( -0.44) | 34.94% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.07% ( -0.49) | 56.93% ( 0.5) |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.32% ( -0.17) | 7.67% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.62% ( -0.45) | 27.38% ( 0.46) |
Antalyaspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.29% ( 0.05) | 45.71% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.51% ( 0.04) | 81.49% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Fenerbahce | Draw | Antalyaspor |
2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 75.84% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 15% | 1-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 9.15% |
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