SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
20.73% ( 0.04) | 21.5% ( 0.02) | 57.77% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.02) | 40.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.54% ( -0.02) | 62.46% ( 0.02) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0.03) | 32.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( 0.03) | 69.52% ( -0.03) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( -0.02) | 13.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.14% ( -0.04) | 40.86% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.73% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.77% |
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