SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Ankaragucu |
73.57% ( 0.09) | 15.29% ( -0.05) | 11.13% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.13) | 29.79% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.06% ( 0.15) | 50.93% ( -0.16) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.05% ( 0.04) | 6.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.53% ( 0.13) | 25.47% ( -0.13) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( 0.01) | 38.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( 0.01) | 75.03% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Ankaragucu |
| 2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.18% Total : 73.57% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.29% | 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 11.13% |
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