SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
23.5% ( 0.2) | 23.19% ( 0.56) | 53.31% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( -2.27) | 44.39% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( -2.24) | 66.76% ( 2.23) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( -1.07) | 32.83% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( -1.21) | 69.39% ( 1.21) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -1.07) | 16.61% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.56% ( -1.96) | 46.43% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.5% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.31% |
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