With a just a point separating the teams in the league table, Sunday's contest is a tough one to call, but with Fenerbahce keeping one eye on the second leg of their Europa Conference League tie with Slavia Prague, we think that the hosts may be held to a point at the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 69.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
