Gaziantep have recorded some strong results against opposition higher than them in the table recently, most notably beating Fenerbahce earlier this month, and that will give them the confidence to take something from this match.
Alanyaspor will be desperate to bounce back after defeat last time out and that is why they are unlikely to lose this game, but it shows what sort of areas Gaziantep can exploit which Alanyaspor will need to have improved on.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
