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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Gaziantep Arena

Gaziantep
3 - 2
Fenerbahce

Figueiredo (8', 73'), Maxim (54' pen.)
Maxim (59'), Figueiredo (74'), Soyalp (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ozil (30'), Zajc (67')
Kim (51'), Tisserand (79')

We said: Gaziantep 1-2 Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce are the more in-form side heading into this one and boast a better squad overall. We fancy them to carry the day, narrowly edging out their hosts at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
GaziantepDrawFenerbahce
28.45%24.94%46.61%
Both teams to score 54.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98%48.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81%70.19%
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35%20.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.78%53.21%
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 28.45%
    Fenerbahce 46.61%
    Draw 24.93%
GaziantepDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 4.16%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.93%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.61%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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