Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
