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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 5, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Gaziantep Arena

Gaziantep
5 - 1
Sivasspor

Djilobodji (6', 41'), Demir (12'), Maxim (70' pen.), Soyalp (76')
Demir (45+6'), Vetrih (61'), Kitsiou (80'), Sagal (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goutas (29')
Cofie (59'), Gradel (61'), Osmanpasa (86')
Yatabare (63')

We said: Gaziantep 2-0 Sivasspor

Having remained unbeaten at home so far this season, Gaziantep are favourites for this encounter and they should be able to find the back of the net a couple of times, as they have done so in their most recent home matches. Sivasspor will not make it easy for the hosts, and with both teams close in the table it suggests that Saturday's clash will be a tight affair, but Gaziantep are strong on their own patch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawSivasspor
37.79%26.5%35.71%
Both teams to score 52.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.68%52.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99%74.01%
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77%62.23%
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19%63.81%
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 37.79%
    Sivasspor 35.71%
    Draw 26.49%
GaziantepDrawSivasspor
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.71%

Read more!
Read more!


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