Gaziantep
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Soyalp (6'), Demir (18'), Figueiredo (73')
Merkel (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mor (50')
Torun (10'), Erkin (39'), Bekaroglu (86')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Gaziantep 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

This is one of those fixtures that could easily go either way as there is little to choose between the sides. That said, we are backing Gaziantep to emerge victorious, narrowly edging out their visitors by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
Gaziantep	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
46.82%	24.07%	29.12%

Both teams to score 58.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.2%

43.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.81%

66.19%

Gaziantep Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13%

18.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.67%

50.33%

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83%

28.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14%

63.87%

Score Analysis

Gaziantep 46.82%

Fatih Karagumruk 29.12%

Draw 24.07%

Gaziantep	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.32% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 7.11% 0-1 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.12%