Giresunspor have won their last three games in all competitions but it will be a tough ask to stretch that to four consecutive victories against a side which are expected to test the home team's defence.
Fatih Karagumruk will want to follow their cup win up with another victory, but there is likely to be nothing to split these two teams on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Giresunspor win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Giresunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Giresunspor would win this match.
